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Myntra’s missing margins
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Good Morning Dear Reader,
A decade ago, in September 2013, Mukesh Bansal, CEO and co-founder of online fashion e-commerce company Myntra (disclaimer: I used to work there), declared his intention to make the company profitable the following year.
Didn’t happen.
One year later, he did it again, stating that he expected Myntra to breakeven in “early 2015”. He also declared his intention to go public in the next couple of years.
Didn’t happen.
In response to rumours of a potential merger or acquisition, he said that he believed that “the independent path is best for the company”.
Two months later, Flipkart announced the acquisition of Myntra. By the following year, Bansal had assumed the new role as head of e-commerce at Flipkart. Ananth Narayanan, a McKinsey veteran, took over as Myntra’s CEO. The so-called independent path was dead.
But Myntra’s dreams lived on.
In March 2016, in a televised interview with CNBC, Bansal said that Myntra would be India’s first profitable e-commerce company, and that “it may still take another 12-18 months, but it’s not far off”.
These weren’t idle claims. A few months later, Myntra announced the acquisition of Jabong, a rival e-commerce firm. While reporting the development, Business Standard headlined the story : “Flipkart's Myntra buys Jabong to speed up profit chase”, and suggested that the acquisition would help Myntra achieve profitability by the end of the year.
I think you know where this is going.
The years rolled by. And Myntra keptsayingthat it was getting closer to profitability. It got creative with its descriptions. It said profitability was “very likely”. Then it said it was “close to breaking even”.
And then, suddenly, by the end of 2018, it stopped talking about profitability altogether.
Cut to the present.
Myntra ended the most recent financial year with a revenue of ~Rs 3,500 crore (US$423 million) and a loss of ~ Rs 600 crore (US$72.5 million). At a unit level, it spent Rs 1.2 to earn a rupee of operating revenue—the same as the previous financial year.
This is not a story about Myntra.
For a long time, we’ve been told that fashion e-commerce is different. That it’s special. That of all the companies selling things online, the ones selling apparel and fashion would be the first to turn profitable. Myntra isn’t the only company that believed this was possible. So did Flipkart. And Jabong. Ask anyone who understands e-commerce even a little bit, and they’ll tell you that apparel is the great hope. It’s the promise. It’s the one.
But ten years since Myntra made its first announcement, not one major profitable fashion e-commerce company has emerged in India. The promise lies unfulfilled. That doesn’t mean that companies aren’t trying. But it’s been a long, hard, grind. In fact, companies like Flipkart and Myntra have made significant progress, and have crossed several obstacles.
However, right now, one final adversary awaits them.
And soon, we’ll know if fashion e-commerce is the great hope that we all believed. Or if profitability there is a chimera—an unrealizable dream.
Let’s dive in.
The three victories of fashion e-commerce
Fashion e-commerce has two unique characteristics.
Firstly, its margins are significantly higher than other categories. If you are an online store selling apparel and accessories, your gross margins are somewhere around 35-40%. As a reference, retailers have gross margins of around 6-10% for smartphones, or around 20% for large appliances. Plus, fashion e-commerce isn’t that expensive to ship, unlike, say, washing machines. This ridiculously high gross margin makes fashion e-commerce considerably more attractive, and why many people believed (and still do) that these companies would almost inevitably become profitable. They would have the space to subsume other costs.
However, there is a counterforce.
Fashion ecommerce has the highest returns of all categories in e-commerce. People don’t return phones once they buy them. Or books. Or washing machines. But they return clothes and accessories all the time. Sometimes it’s because they don’t fit very well. Or because they didn’t like the material. Or… for no reason at all. On an average, other categories have a return rate of maybe 20-25%. Fashion and apparel return rates are much higher, usually at around 35-40%.
These two characteristics formed the basis of how companies chose to sell apparel. And it was a battle of ideas.
For a long time, most companies believed that the only way to make the economics work would be to sell clothes offline, in physical stores, in prominent real-estate. Customers could try and look at what they wanted to buy—which would bring down returns. Sure, this would lead to rent and operations as an expense, but the gross margins would help pay for that, leading to profits.
Online e-commerce believed the opposite. They believed that returns could be solved using technology, but rent could not. And so they chose to take on the costs of returns, again, hoping to pay for it using their massive gross margins.
At the beginning it seemed like this would work, but online fashion e-commerce also had another characteristic—competition. And this led to another cost, i.e., discounts. Fashion e-commerce has always had a bunch of companies fiercely fighting for market share, all of whom have been willing to go to great lengths, and deep discounts, to win.
First, there was Myntra. Then came Jabong. And then Flipkart and Amazon.
Here’s a story from 2015 that captures the state of the market.
While Myntra has lost out after going app-only in May, Jabong has seen growth slowing after the exodus of several senior managers.
The beneficiaries have been the fashion businesses of online marketplaces (also called horizontal marketplaces) such as Flipkart, Snapdeal, and Amazon, which have quickly expanded their product offerings and added new features to build a large fashion businesses.
Now, Flipkart’s fashion business has become larger than Myntra’s, three people familiar with the matter said, speaking on condition of anonymity. Snapdeal, run by Jasper Infotech Pvt. Ltd, too, is growing faster than expected and will touch $2 billion in gross merchandise value (GMV or cost of goods sold) by December this year.
Myntra, Jabong cede online fashion market share to Flipkart, Amazon, Snapdeal, Mint
Here’s why this happened.
Still, the growing dominance of online marketplaces in the fashion space contrasts sharply with the situation two years ago when Myntra and Jabong dominated the space.
In 2014-2015, sales growth at Myntra accelerated sharply after its $330 million-plus takeover by Flipkart, India’s largest e-commerce firm, in May 2014.
While rival Jabong didn’t grow at the same pace, it still reported sales growth of 135% in calendar 2014. During this time, some analysts said Myntra and Jabong would be able to hold their own against their larger marketplace rivals.
Jabong co-founder and managing director Praveen Sinha attributes this to irrational metrics in the market.
“Right now everyone is bleeding in the process of gaining share and the market is playing on irrational metrics, making it difficult for vertical (focused) companies to compete with the heavily funded horizontal marketplaces," he said.
Myntra, Jabong cede online fashion market share to Flipkart, Amazon, Snapdeal, Mint
This discount war went on and on, until the market quickly consolidated. Flipkart bought Myntra, which bought Jabong, and the combined entity had a commanding market share. Myntra declared that it would reduce its discounts. It seemed like, finally, companies could go back to focus on profitability. Until, well, Meesho came along, and everyone went to war again, particularly Flipkart—which saw some erosion of its market share at the lower end in fashion e-commerce.
Recently, I spoke to an executive who works at a major e-commerce company who told me that companies like Flipkart and Myntra have three major levers to achieve profitability.
And over the last five years, they’ve made significant progress on all of them.
The first is private labels.
This is simple. Why get stuff from someone else if you can make it yourself? If done well, this pushes the gross margin up to nearly 50-60%, and helps get you to profitability faster. And that’s exactly what Flipkart and Myntra have been doing for years. For Myntra, a significant share of their sales are through private labels. By 2017, the business was contributing nearly 25% of Myntra’s revenues, and the company claimed that it was profitable.
However, the catch was that Myntra couldn’t expand private labels beyond a certain point. In 2017, Narayanan said that Myntra ”wouldn’t expand private labels beyond 35% as that could slow down their total growth”
The second is terms of sale.
Typically there are two ways e-commerce companies buy from vendors. They either buy it outright and stock it in their warehouse. Or they do what’s called an SOR (Sale or return)—essentially this gives e-commerce companies like Myntra the option to return products back to the vendors in case they do not sell. SOR typically has lower gross margins, but also diminishes risk and ensures that companies aren’t stuck with stuff they can’t sell.
Over the years, most fashion e-commerce has been moving to this model. Today, over 90% of all products at Flipkart Fashion are via SOR.
Which finally brings us to the big monster.
Returns.
Primarily, there are two types of returns. The first is RTO (Return to Origin), where a product is returned because the product could not be delivered to the customer. Perhaps it's because the address was wrong, or maybe the customer didn’t want to pay for it, or just flat out refused to accept the order. The second is called RVP (Reverse Pickup), i.e., a return that has been initiated by the customer.
Combined, both of these account for the high returns percentage, which, like I mentioned earlier, is somewhere around 35-40% for a company like Flipkart Fashion or Myntra.
You can’t cut down returns, but one thing you can do is choose what to do once the products are returned.
Most people believe that products once returned go back to the warehouse—a process called inventorisation, but that’s not how it works. Sometimes the returned products are in a bad condition, or worn, or broken. But if you can reinventorise a big chunk of your returns, you can bring down costs. Again, this is what Myntra and Flipkart Fashion have been doing for a while, and I’ve been told that they’ve maxed out on all the progress that they can possibly make.
In essence, these companies have done almost everything they can to squeeze profits. They’ve created private labels, resorted to favourable terms of sale, and achieved reinventorisation. Most recently, they’ve even started charging some customers for returns—something unheard of so far.
And yet, profits continue to elude them.
So it’s time to ask—will profitability ever come?
This is a question that people have been asking for years.
I’ll end with a story from back in 2015, which breaks down this dilemma for fashion e-tailers.
There’s bad news for fashion retailers hoping to cut real estate expenses by venturing into ecommerce — running an apparel business online is almost just as expensive as running a brick-and-mortar store in any mall. In fact, with ecommerce in the country pushing fashion brands to give more than 15-20% discounts, it could also eat into profit.
Some fashion brands that entered the online space in the past five years claim to be paying 30-40% commission to ecommerce platforms such as Jabong, Flipkart, Amazon, Myntra and Koovs for sales and product delivery. Last year, Myntra is said to have increased the margin it sought from brands to 36-40% from 28-32% — higher than the 30-35% margins that several apparel, footwear, fashion and lifestyle vendors were giving to brick-and-mortar franchises then.
This is almost as much as they would pay to run a physical retail store, which includes costs like rental (15%), staffing and utilities (8-10%) and maintenance and discounts (5-6%), according to Arvind Singhal, chairman of retail consultancy firm Technopak Advisors. “This (commission) is very expensive,” he said, adding that strong fashion brands wouldn’t pay ecommerce portals more than 10-20% as commission.
Fashion e-tailers shell out 30-40% margin to e-commerce platforms, The Economic Times
As the war on returns heats up and fashion e-commerce companies fight for profits, we’ll soon know which of these two models had it right all along.
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