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Why everyone wants a piece of India’s open e-commerce platform

The Nutgraf is a 10-min newsletter sent at 10 AM IST every Saturday. It connects the dots and synthesizes one big event in business, technology and finance that happened over the week in India. In a way you’ll never forget.

This is a paid newsletter that’s available exclusively to The Ken’s premium subscribers.

Just 10 mins long Synthesis not analysis Sometimes memes

ONDC has been created to change the status quo in e-commerce dramatically. So why are all the incumbents rushing to cooperate with it?

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Say you are the Government of India, and you think that e-commerce companies like Amazon and Flipkart have too much power. How do you solve this problem? One way is to make it harder for them to acquire other companies or raise funding. You can claim that they violated some law nobody understands well and fine them an obscene amount of money. As a bonus, you can raid the offices of their top sellers. You can go after the founders. You can investigate them for anti-competitive practices. There are a lot of options. 
 
Another way to solve this problem is to take what makes these companies so powerful, and make it public and open. So that, in theory, anyone can build a Flipkart or an Amazon. That way it’s no longer exclusive and closed. If you are the Indian government, that strategy would look something like this: 
 
  1. You go to sellers and convince them to upload what they are selling, how much stock they have, and prices to an app. You approach all kinds of sellers. Maybe it’s that Jaipur family selling carpets and rugs. Or that local kirana store selling soap and biscuits. Your pitch to them is simple—“Just do this, and you’ll get more sales”. Not everyone is convinced it’s worth the trouble, and several tell you they can do this easily, especially because they upload all this on platforms like Amazon, Flipkart, Meesho, and Dunzo anyway. 
     
  2. You then approach a few startups in Bengaluru, and ask them whether they want to help build an app that helps sellers upload their catalogue and inventory in real-time. You tell them you have customers for them; that practically anyone can build this app, especially because the specifications of how these sellers will upload their products are public and standardised. Many of them jump at the chance and build these apps. Soon, you have access to catalogues and real-time inventory of a ton of sellers. 
     
  3. You then go to a company that has an app with a ton of users, but no business model. Maybe it’s an app that people use to book cabs. Or one they use to pay their electricity bills. You tell the company, “hey, I have all these catalogues from all these sellers. Do you want to show it to your users?” Maybe they’ll find something they like and place some orders. You offer them a cut. You tell them it’s a simple integration. Duh. Of course!, say all the companies. And very soon, when users open an app to watch the IPL, they notice that the local kirana store has a big sale on brinjals.  
     
  4. Finally, you go to a few logistics and delivery companies. You say you have a ton of orders made by all these users from all these sellers. If they accept the job, they would need to pick stuff up from this place and deliver it to that other place. Can they do that? Sure, say the delivery companies. 
     
  5. You wait. Over time, more and more small sellers find out this is working for them. They tell others. More sellers come. Meanwhile more apps find out that it’s ridiculously easy to show products to their users and nudge them to buy. Soon, everyone builds a shopping tab on their app. Every seller has access to all buyers, and all buyers have access to all sellers. 
     
  6. You’ve built an open network, defined standards, and waited as everyone involved in the chain, from buyer to logistics player, plugged into it. Small sellers rejoice now that they’re no longer being exploited by big ecommerce. Amazon and Flipkart weep silently. 
     
  7. You win lots of elections. 
If you’ve understood this, then you’ve understood how the ONDC (Open Network for Digital Commerce) is supposed to work. The ONDC has been called many things. Like Amazon slayer. Or a way to democratise e-commerce in India. Or the UPI moment for e-commerce. The premise is simple—take what’s closed and proprietary, and make it open and standard, and all the giants will be slain.
 
The Government of India has been hyping up ONDC for a while now as a solution to the duopoly of Amazon and Flipkart in e-commerce. In fact, when I last wrote about it a few months ago in an edition titled ‘India’s plan to build a UPI for e-commerce’, I was sceptical. My argument was that products are not money, and that it would be hard to generate interest around this. 
 
Well, a lot has happened since then!
 
In the last few weeks, it appears as though companies are falling over themselves to join the ONDC. Thanks to a steady, and likely orchestrated, series of leaks by mostly anonymous sources to multiple media outlets, the list of names who are integrating (or are in talks about integration) with the ONDC include PhonePe, Dunzo, Google, Reliance Retail, banks, Paytm*, telecom companies… and even Amazon and Flipkart. 
 
Surprised? Yes, me too. 
 
Here’s T Koshy, the CEO of the ONDC, explaining why. 
Quote
"Some of them have started integrating, some are still figuring out when to join. 
 
I don't think anybody's wondering whether to join. Because if the model is shaping up, there will be an opportunity and a natural business compulsion for everybody to be a part of it"
T Koshy, CEO of ONDC
I think Mr Koshy has a point. 
 

The ONDC believes that the reason why everyone is lining up to join them is because they sense a massive business opportunity. 

 

They are right. 

 

But not in the way they imagine. 

 

Ask yourself why Amazon and Flipkart are in talks to integrate with the entity that’s been created to undermine and reduce their power and influence. From banks to logistics players, everyone has their own reasons to join the ONDC. They are rushing into the fire, instead of running away from it. 

 

All of them have their reasons. 

 

For some of them, the ONDC is an opportunity to seize power. 

 

For others, it’s a way to make up for past strategic mistakes. 

 

And for some, the ONDC is a weapon to strengthen their position, and increase market dominance. 

 

Let’s dive in.

Everyone loves an open network
I’ll start with a question. 
 

Who owns the ONDC? 

 

Well, the ONDC is a non-profit entity, but see if you can spot a pattern around all the entities jumping to buy a stake in it.

Different arms of the government have come forward to back the recently announced Open Network for Digital Commerce (ONDC). Country’s largest bank, State Bank of India (SBI), has picked up a 7.84% stake in the newly announced initiative for INR 10 Cr.
 
With this, SBI has become the second public sector bank in the country to acquire a stake in the ONDC. Earlier in November last year, PNB had proposed to invest INR 25 Cr or acquire 9.5% equity, whichever would be lower.
 
This comes on the heels of Kotak Mahindra Bank, Axis Bank and HDFC Bank announcing that they had also acquired 7.84% stake each in the digital infrastructure framework entity. Kotak Mahindra, HDFC and Axis picked up a stake in the ONDC for an amount of INR 10 Cr each.
Banks Line Up To Invest In Govt’s Ecommerce Project! SBI, Kotak, HDFC, Axis Pick Stakes In ONDC, Inc42
That’s right. Big banks really want to be a part of the action. They don’t just own the ONDC, but they also seem to be playing a central role in acquiring users. On the face of it, this makes sense. Banks have apps. A lot of users come on the app everyday to transfer money, make investments, apply for loans, etc. Why not get them to shop inside the app themselves? And if they buy something expensive, offer them loans and EMIs. Sounds great in theory. I mean, sure, banks have users, but to expect users to buy groceries on ICICI’s Net Banking app seems like a lot of wishful thinking. 
 

But why are banks so eager to hop on to the ONDC bandwagon? 

 

The answer is because they made a strategic mistake the last time a similar opportunity came their way. 

 

Banks don’t want to make the same mistake twice

 

Back in 2016, when the UPI was rolled out as an open protocol, it was to enable anyone to send money to anyone else, just by using an id. At the time, banks had to integrate into it because that’s where all of India’s consumers kept their money. 

 

Let’s just say that they took their time doing it, and weren’t particularly enthusiastic. 

 

They paid a heavy price for this because banks vastly underestimated how ubiquitous UPI would soon become. Back then, if you were a consumer and wanted to transfer money to someone, the only apps you’d use were your banking apps and maybe Paytm. In a few short quarters, Google Pay, Phone Pe, and all the others came to the fore, and banking apps practically disappeared from the phones of millions of users. 

 

Here’s my colleague, Arundhati, who wrote a wonderful story a couple of days back on how India’s banks are looking to even the score and become relevant again, especially around digital payments. 

 

She included a pretty striking chart. 

The banks are paranoid. Not again. Not this time. 
 

This time, they want to cash in on the ONDC. 

 

Paytm solves a thorny problem 

 

Around two weeks ago, Paytm announced that it was going all-in on ONDC on its e-commerce store Paytm Mall. To date, it remains the only company that has enthusiastically and publicly thrown its weight behind ONDC. 

 

Paytm announced this at the same time as it announced the exit of two of its key investors, Ant Financial and Alibaba. Exit China. Enter India. 

 

But more importantly, a big reason why Paytm seems to be jumping on the ONDC bandwagon is because it’s in the best position to gain from it, while also solving for a thorny problem, i.e; seller acquisition. Paytm has over 150 million active users, which makes it one of the largest apps in India in terms of users. And while it may seem like Paytm, which basically solves seller problems, would crush it in e-commerce, the reality is that as a business, Paytm Mall has been underwhelming. After a meteoric start, the business has shrunk considerably, and losses have mounted. 

 

But what if Paytm Mall found a method to get sellers in the most cost-effective way? What if the sellers and their catalogues were delivered to it on a platter, through a simple integration?

 

Seems like a worthy bet. 

 

Google wants be relevant for commerce 

 

It seems like the success of the ONDC hinges on a couple of things.

 

  1. How good the listings are when you search for product
     
  2. How easy is it to make payments

If there’s one company that understands this information and owns the largest payment app in India, well, that’s Google. In a nutshell, that’s why Google is interested. The next time you open your Google Pay app to send a friend some money, Google would want you to check out some amazing T-shirts. 

 

Google has always wanted to crack commerce. At some level, it has, through product search results, but it has been losing ground to Amazon. For several quarters now, users now begin their product searches on Amazon, not Google. And all that Google has is the catalogue of sellers who advertise on their platform.

 

But what if Google search results could give you access to the catalogues of all the sellers in India, not just those who advertise with Google? It would be a major coup. Google could reach out to some of these sellers, and pitch advertising solutions to boost their presence. 

 

Like, the script practically writes itself. 

 

Amazon and Flipkart want to expand the pie

 

A lot of people seem to be under the impression that if Amazon and Flipkart integrate with ONDC, both of them will start showing each other’s products in their search results. 

 

To this, I say, fat chance. 

 

I think if Amazon and Flipkart are truly serious about it, and aren’t doing these meetings out of politeness, then the only reason they’d be interested in ONDC is to solve a problem that they haven’t solved yet. 

Maybe things like groceries. 

 

And once that happens, both of them start to look unstoppable. 

 

Will everyone win?

 

Well, the short answer is that it’s too soon to say. A lot depends on the restrictions and specifications that ONDC puts on the buyer side. The buyer app is the place where users will make purchases, so you are basically betting that people will abandon Flipkart and Amazon and use those apps, like State Bank of India. There better be a good reason why you want people to do that. 

 

If ONDC insists on dictating the user experience or the order of the search results and the listings, well, I think that Amazon and Flipkart will win. 

 

On the other hand, if they say fine, show the results however you want, well, Amazon and Flipkart will still win. 

 

But more than anything else, I think the problem is not on the supply side, but the demand side. And I think that ONDC vastly underestimates the value of closed integrations. The reason why consumers prefer Amazon and Flipkart, where everything is closed and controlled end-to-end, is because… everything is closed and controlled end-to-end. This is not a bug. This is the feature. 

 

If ONDC thinks that it can open it all up, and suddenly people will abandon these apps, I think it’ll be mistaken. Above all, the users with the money will prefer closed ecosystems, despite all efforts to claw them out of it. It’s why Apple, which is a closed ecosystem, has fewer users than Android, but arguably has the “better” users, at least from a monetary standpoint. 

 

Until then, we’ll have to watch ONDC closely. I know I will.

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Regards,
Praveen Gopal Krishnan


*Paytm’s founder Vijay Shekhar Sharma is an investor in The Ken
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