Hi Prithvi,
Thanks for your comments. You are absolutely right – the country's unemployment will rise meaningfully over the next few quarters. However here are a few points the story above tries to make:
(1) Situation was bad, but not uniformly so.
Pre-Covid too the job market was in a fragile state. However, all parts were not systematically doing badly. The piece above highlights the few pockets that were holding-up. On the rural front too, it is worth noting that even as headline wage inflation was recorded at multi-year lows; state’s like AP & Haryana experienced an acceleration in wage growth.
(2) Things will deteriorate in the short term, but where will India be post-Covid?
The last paragraph highlights all the concerns you mention. But as Rohin put it, the idea of the piece is to ‘skate to where the (jobs) puck will be’ and all we have tried is to highlight spots that hold promise!
So yes, the job market onion is not in the best of shapes today. But the onion has layers, and peeling these carefully is key.
Ritika Mankar